Posts

Showing posts from July, 2018

AAWSAP DIRDs

George Knapp just published the list of DIRD papers that were produced as part of the AAWSA program as required by the solicitation documents . My earlier analysis indicated that the public AAWSAP solicitation and those DIRD documents seemed to have been something like a smokescreen for concealing questionable use of money on UFO/paranormal research, which was arranged between a small circle of friends. The now released list of titles and authors doesn't seem to give any reason to chance that opinion. Only a few of those documents are publicly available, but the select few that are indicate those documents are nothing special, and similar information is widely available elsewhere, and already was when those documents were written. We know the program(s) spent some $22 million tax dollars, but it's still very much an open question if the taxpayers got anything of value in return. Those documents are one part of that equation, and hence here are some of the questions tha

The 2004 USS Nimitz Tic Tac UFO Incident - Estimating uncertainties

Image
The 2004 USS Nimitz Tic Tac Incident is arguably the most significant recent UFO sighting. So far it has also remained unexplained. But is that because of known facts that can't be explained, or because we don't actually know which information is accurate and what needs to be explained in the first place? This analysis of the various witness accounts, interviews and reports is part of an ongoing effort to figure out what actually happened and which information can be trusted. I have already analyzed the FLIR video and the executive report in more detail here. The idea here is to compare how the sources report certain key details and to estimate the reliability of the information based on how they agree and disagree, and to consider which of the sources would most likely contain the most reliable and original information. Sources This analysis is based on the following sources, which are referred from here on with their short ids. The primary focus is on the first 5 so